India’s coal dependency to stay; geopolitical brakes on shift to renewables

India’s coal imports, which had reached its peak of 212 million tonnes in 2014-15, declined to 191 million tonnes in 2016-17.

However since 2017-18 onwards, they again showed a rising trend.

In that year, coal imports rose to 208 million tonnes, going further up to 235.35 million tonnes in 2018-19 and to 248 million tonnes in 2019-20.

India imports the dry fuel to bridge the gap between demand and supply.

As per the government’s coal import policy, import has been kept under the open general license and users are free to import dry fuel from the source of their choice and as per their contractual prices on payment of applicant duty.

After the government initiated it’s ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ policy, coal imports have been witnessing a downward trend.

In 2020-21, coal imports fell to 215 million tonnes and further to 208 million tonnes in 2021-22 with a negative growth of 29 per cent.

Official sources said that the fall in coal imports in the last couple of fiscals has been due to gradual increase in domestic production by Coal India and its subsidiaries as well as reduction in imports.

However, industry watchers are of the view that India is a long way away from significantly reducing its coal dependency.

With the geopolitical situation being highly fluid owing to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, the supply chains are under pressure and plans by countries like India and many other nations to shift towards renewable energy, have suffered a setback.

In such a scenario, coal dependency is going to rise in the coming years. Even finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman had recently said that India will have to move towards coal for the time being. This signifies that coal is going to be the main energy driver under the current scheme of things, and India’s road to achieve net zero emission is likely face some bumps for now.